Price Growth on Commercial Assets Is Showing Signs of Petering Out

National Real Estate Investor - NREI Staff - 19 March 2017

Price increases for U.S. commercial real estate assets have started to moderate in recent months, perhaps as a result of the expectation of rising interest rates. The all-property CPPI put together monthly by ratings agency Moody’s and research firm Real Capital Analytics (RCA) rose by just 0.1 percent in January, the most recent month for which data is available. The apartment sector continued to outperform during the period, posting the biggest upward jump in the index of any property type, at 0.9 percent. Office buildings in Central Business Districts (CBDs) experienced the biggest drop in prices, at 1.9 percent.

The Moody’s/RCA CPPI tracks repeat sales of commercial properties that occur two months prior to the publication of the report.

Meanwhile, the all-property CPPI put together by Newport Beach, Calif.-based research firm Green Street Advisors, remained flat in February, as it has for the past several months. Green Street found that prices on apartment assets decreased by 3.0 during the time period reported on, while prices on most other property types stayed flat. The only asset types to experience gains in pricing were office, at 2.0 percent and industrial, at 1.0 percent.

Green Street’s CPPI is based on unleveraged commercial property values captured from sales that are currently being negotiated or contracted.